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Jan 22

Statistical Look at the Losses

Posted by: Matt Downs | Leave a Comment (1)
Category: Random Notes

Kentucky’s four losses are more than what I would of predicted by this time in the season. The two losses out of conference to UConn and North Carolina I can understand and actually I am fine with. With conference play though,  Kentucky already has two losses and has yet to play Vanderbilt, Florida, or Tennessee. The issue at hand seems to be shooting on the road.The Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama games were at their house and UConn was in Maui.

This young Kentucky team is a fast paced shooting team, and slow starts in the losses seemed to take the them out of their flow, with players forcing up shots and trying to make plays. The issue is besides open jumpers, there is no consistent way to score points. With no offensive presence inside, when the shots aren’t falling, the scorers force shots instead of swinging the ball around to find the open man.  Below is a chart that shows the yearly averages and the averages from the four losses.

Year Stats

FG%

3FG%

FT%

PPG

RPG

ORPG

APG

TOPG

46%

40%

69%

79.2

40.4

13.3

13.6

11

Totals (4 losses)

FG%

3FG%

FT%

PPG

RPG

ORPG

APG

TOPG

37.80%

35.60%

68.20%

69

34.2

13.5

10.2

10.5

The stats don’t lie. Kentucky in these four games shot about 10% lower from the field, got 6 less rebounds, and 3 less assists.  If it’s the environment that is causing the losses on the road, the cats better figure out who the leader is to take over a game.

If it is just poor shooting, then this will happen again because sometimes the shots are just not going to fall. If your just a shooting team you are going to lose games because you might be cold and the opposing team might be hot (Example: Alabama).

Last years team could not shoot very well and yet the managed to only lose 3 games all season. But this team does not have the same role players. Let us just hope that this team will get hot at the right times, like tournament time.

lance beck said on 01/24/2011 2:12 PM

UK shot 10 percentage points below their average not 10% below their average…there is a difference.

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